Today, I would like to take a look at the veteran of the bunch, Newt Gingrich.
Up to This Point
Newt Gingrich’s campaign got off to a rocky start with the short-lived scandal over his slams against the Paul Ryan plan. It looked as though his bid for president would be over before it even started. But as further examination showed that his remarks about Paul Ryan were taken out of context and mischaracterized, he had an opportunity to get back on track. And, as it turns out, the debates were just the venue he needed. His answers have been quick, sharp, and witty. He never looks as though he is searching for an answer. And while the various moderators have tried in vain to rattle him, he has managed to put them on the defensive several times. We have all been reminded that, despite all of his baggage, Newt Gingrich is incredibly bright and cool-headed under pressure. He has come off looking like a seasoned professional without seeming like an overly rehearsed politician. His experience really shines through when he deals with his competition. He is very careful to make sure that his criticisms of his fellow Republicans aren’t the sort of cheap shots that will be used as Democratic ammo against the winner in the general election. He never takes the bait when the moderator tries to get him to attack a candidate over semantics or a sensational statement. In fact, he has stated several times that any Republican candidate would be better than a second Obama term. He makes sure the audience knows that their real concern should be electing a conservative President, not worrying about the effects of the phrase “ponzi-scheme.” No matter what topic is being discussed, he skillfully redirects the conservation to the important issues at hand. One can’t help but to imagine him in a debate with President Obama and if you’re a conservative, you’ll find the thought quite appealing. Regardless of how you feel about Newt Gingrich as a person, it’s hard to feel anything but confident in his ability to dominate the debates in 2012. So why, in spite of his strong debate performances, is he struggling in the polls? I think his biggest problem is that his name is Newt Gingrich and that name carries a whole lot of baggage.
First, he is the “Washington guy” running in a year when nobody wants a candidate from Washington. Sure, there are a few politicians who have really earned the trust of conservatives, but most Republican voters have had enough of anyone considered an “insider.” Newt Gingrich is often thought of as a member of the Arlen Specter, wishy-washy, reach across the aisle class of Republicans. Yes, he played hardball with Bill Clinton. But, people still associate him with the GOP before the tea party voters cleaned house. He is a member of the Old Guard at a time when people are eager for the new. He has done a lot to shake that image by speaking with a forcefulness that isn’t seen among the politically correct “let’s compromise” Republicans. He seems to be making some headway, but at a time when people are rightfully leery of so-called Establishment Republicans, it will be an up-hill battle.
Secondly, there are the lingering concerns over his personal life. Some of the scandals, like the old rumor that he divorced his wife while she was in a hospital dying of cancer (according to her own daughter, she requested the divorce, the divorce was filed long before she was in the hospital, and she’s still alive today), have been discounted. But to a large number of people, he will be always be “that guy who abandoned his sick wife.” The fact that he is in his third marriage doesn’t help matters either. And I’m not about to say that those things shouldn’t be considered. The best way to tell if someone is sincere is to examine how their life matches up with their rhetoric. I have my own concerns about how this reflects on his character and they weigh heavily on my opinion of him as a candidate. However, I do think that people should recognize the fact that he has been married to his current wife for more than a decade, without even so much as a suggestion of a scandal. He has also very openly said that he made bad decisions in the past and has since turned his life around. I am unaware of any other accusations of dishonesty or unbecoming behavior since then. I know that anyone can say they are sorry and that it doesn’t necessarily mean that a true reformation has taken place, but, unless someone has evidence to the contrary, you can only hold those misdeeds against him for so long. I’m not saying that it is wrong to have reservations about him, but I don’t think you can dismiss him entirely because of his past behavior. I believe that a person’s character deserves a lot of attention. I think that is one of the most important qualities, if not the most important quality, in a leader. So, one must decide for himself if Newt can be trusted and maybe you’re answer is “no.” I just hope that we consider his present conduct as well as his past conduct before making that decision.
Going Forward
As far as his campaign goes, Newt Gingrich should try to change as little as possible going forward. His biggest strength is his unapologetic no-nonsense style of debating. One of the easiest ways to spot a phony is to watch for a candidate who carefully chooses each word so that it is as inoffensive as possible. This is politics. If you are a principled person, you’re going to offend some people from time to time. Newt has shown a willingness to call things as he sees them, even when his remarks leave the moderator’s jaw on the floor. If anything is going to convince people that he is trustworthy and has some backbone, that will be thing. Its going to be tough to ditch the run-around persona, but he is on the right track.
His slow rise in the polls could also be a good sign. This primary season has been marked by meteoric rises in popularity, followed by an equally sudden plummet (think Bachmann and Perry). Gingrich’s steady ascent in the polls could give him a better shot than most of us initially thought possible. It is still a bit of a long-shot for him to win, but I think his impressive debate performances have made that scenario a lot more plausible. At this point, there are two questions that will determine his viability as a candidate. 1.) Are the people who dislike Gingrich personally willing to give him another look? 2.) Does he have enough financing to stay in the race long enough to win people over? If either of these answers is a “no,” then he doesn’t stand a chance. But if the circumstances are in his favor, he just might be able to rehab his image with older voters and introduce himself to a new generation as a principled leader.
Other Candidates:
Huntsman, Paul, and Johnson
Herman Cain
Rick Santorum
Like this:
Be the first to like this post.